‘The Guardian view on Debaltseve and the Ukraine ceasefire’
Het blijft koffiedik kijken (en er zijn andere overwegingen bij de hoofdrolspelers denkbaar), maar dit lijkt geen onzinnige analyse:
It was obvious as soon as the Ukraine ceasefire was agreed last week that both sides would fight hard in the time before it came into force to either seize or deny territory, particularly in Debaltseve. Such down-to-the-wire efforts are a feature of ceasefires everywhere, and they often go beyond the wire, as they have at Debaltseve, where the separatists have been able to squeeze the battered town so hard in the last few days that Ukrainian forces are now withdrawing, in what sort of order is not clear. Such land grabs are violations but they may also demonstrate an expectation that the truce will last. Why expend men and materiel to gain an advantage unless you expect to be able to lock it in?