Aldus The Washington Post:
The 300 U.S. advisers authorized to assist the Iraqi security forces will find an army in crisis mode, so lacking in equipment and shaken by desertions that it may not be able to win back significant chunks of territory from al-Qaeda renegades for months or even years, analysts and officials say.
After tens of thousands of desertions, the Iraqi military is reeling from what one U.S. official described as “psychological collapse” in the face of the offensive from militants of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS).
The desperation has reached such a level that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki is relying on volunteers, who are in some cases receiving as little as a week’s military training, to protect his ever-shrinking orbit of control.
Hoewel ISIS simpelweg te klein is om de sjiitische of Koerdische delen van Irak te bezetten (en de Koerdische peshmerga zullen zeker niet ineen storten), zou dit – juist daarom – heel goed het begin van de desintegratie van Irak kunnen zijn.